PAOK 2-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.9
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.62
X/2
16%
5.91
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
11%
32.5
2/2
18%
4.22
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.04/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.88
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.7 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.22 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 276
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 2-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.11.2024 PAOK PAOK 2-3 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
12.05.2024 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
21.04.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
18.02.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-4 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
05.11.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-1
AWAY Olympiakos
1.41 xG 0.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
184 Passes 289
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK squeezed past Olympiakos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PAOK had 40% of the ball to Olympiakos's 60%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PAOK and 2.17 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Olympiakos?

PAOK 2-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PAOK 33%, draw 26%, Olympiakos 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ BTTS Yes
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