Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.84
1/2
10%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.6
X/2
7%
5.94
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 13% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.23/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.02
+29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
13.9 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
230 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
19.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
29.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
24.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-3
AWAY AEK Atina
1.60 xG 2.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
362 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Panathinaikos 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day AEK Atina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 50% of the ball to AEK Atina's 50%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.60 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 38%, draw 30%, AEK Atina 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
30 Nov 2025
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