Levadiakos 2-3 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
13%
7.95
X/2
17%
4.68
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.62
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.29/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.72
+104% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
11.2 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PAOK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.61 xG 1.49
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
184 Passes 491
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Levadiakos Levadiakos 4-1 HT 2-1 PAOK PAOK YUK
26.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
06.10.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
30.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.10.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.04.2019 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
2-3
AWAY PAOK
2.14 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
239 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK squeezed past Levadiakos 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Levadiakos had 42% of the ball to PAOK's 58%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.14 to 1.39 — on chances, Levadiakos could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levadiakos and 2.17 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Levadiakos 2-3 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 30%, draw 21%, PAOK 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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