Levadiakos 4-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

Levadiakos
4-1 HT 2-1
PAOK
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2025/2026

Levadiakos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
56%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Levadiakos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 57%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.27
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Levadiakos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.61 xG 1.49
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
184 Passes 491
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
06.10.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
30.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.10.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.04.2019 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
17.12.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

Levadiakos 4-1 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
4-1
AWAY PAOK
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos ran out comfortable winners over PAOK 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. PAOK carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Levadiakos had 36% of the ball to PAOK's 64%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Levadiakos and 2.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Levadiakos 4-1 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 20%, draw 25%, PAOK 56%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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