Egaleo 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

Egaleo
0-1 HT 0-1
AEK Atina
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2025/2026

Egaleo vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
73%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
3.49
No
43%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+5.9pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.8pp
73%
Away Win
86%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
24%
+33.1pp
43%
BTTS No
76%
-33.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egaleo v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egaleo EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 91%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.83
-100% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
213 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9

Egaleo vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egaleo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
15.04.2007 AEK Atina AEK Atina 5-2 HT 1-1 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
25.11.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
04.02.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 0-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.09.2005 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
23.01.2005 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
19.09.2004 Egaleo Egaleo 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

Egaleo 0-1 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egaleo
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Egaleo vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Egaleo 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Egaleo had 43% of the ball to AEK Atina's 57%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Egaleo and 2.00 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Egaleo vs AEK Atina?

Egaleo 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egaleo vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Egaleo 11%, draw 16%, AEK Atina 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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