Panathinaikos 1-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
76%
-3.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.98/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
-26% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
505 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.79 xG 1.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
447 Passes 208
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
49 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
01.09.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.02.2006 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
01.10.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 2-4 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.03.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
20.11.2004 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past Kallithea 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.67 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Kallithea?

Panathinaikos 1-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 73%, draw 16%, Kallithea 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUK More Greece - Cup
17 Sep 2025
15:00 Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →
15:05 Kifisia vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →
16:00 OFI vs Kavala Analysis →
16:00 Egaleo vs AEK Atina Analysis →
16:00 Atromitos vs Syros Analysis →
17:30 Levadiakos vs PAOK Analysis →