Panathinaikos 1-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
30.0
X/1
11%
3.35
X/2
5%
29.5
X/X
7%
8.44
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
5%
25.0
2/X
5%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-9.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.78/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.53
-17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
464 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
22.7 Crosses 11.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.42 xG 3.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
387 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.02.2006 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
01.10.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 2-4 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.03.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
20.11.2004 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
25.01.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-0
AWAY Kallithea
2.16 xG 0.13
70% Ball Possession 30%
33 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
17 Corners 3
507 Passes 189
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
63 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Kallithea 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 70% of the ball to Kallithea's 30%, shots finished 33-2, expected goals 2.16 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.67 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Kallithea?

Panathinaikos 1-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 68%, draw 17%, Kallithea 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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