PAOK 3-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
22.1
X/1
18%
3.36
X/2
9%
17.6
X/X
9%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
12%
15.35
2/X
5%
23.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
70%
-18.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+15.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.89/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.77
+2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
21.4 Crosses 9.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
443 Passes 240
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
04.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
22.10.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.12.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.08.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
13.02.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
3-0
AWAY Atromitos
1.74 xG 1.10
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
488 Passes 122
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
42 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK cruised past Atromitos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PAOK had 74% of the ball to Atromitos's 26%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.74 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Atromitos?

PAOK 3-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PAOK 51%, draw 22%, Atromitos 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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