Panaitolikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 46%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.00
+150% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
23.02.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.11.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
06.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
13.02.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
14.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki squeezed past Panaitolikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aris Saloniki found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 39% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 61%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panaitolikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 29%, draw 32%, Aris Saloniki 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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