Aris Saloniki 2-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.85
X/1
19%
3.6
X/2
13%
13.3
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
8%
12.85
2/X
5%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.43/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.80
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.6 Crosses 10.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.61 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
476 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
06.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
13.02.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
14.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
24.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
29.12.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.25 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
410 Passes 267
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
41 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Panaitolikos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 58% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 42%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aris Saloniki's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.33 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Panaitolikos?

Aris Saloniki 2-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 50%, draw 25%, Panaitolikos 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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