Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
12.0
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
20.35
X/1
8%
13.1
X/2
19%
3.75
X/X
8%
5.16
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.83
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 67%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
0.75/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.77
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
15.3 Crosses 20.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.56 xG 2.45
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
186 Passes 469
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.02.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-2 HT 3-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
22.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
25.02.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
06.11.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
06.03.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-3
AWAY AEK Atina
0.17 xG 1.36
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
189 Passes 546
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
3 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past Asteras Tripolis 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 31% of the ball to AEK Atina's 69%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.17 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.50 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina?

Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 26%, draw 23%, AEK Atina 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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