Lamia 3-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
55%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
21.35
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
30.0
X/1
9%
21.25
X/2
14%
3.46
X/X
11%
6.52
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.48
2/X
6%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+12.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
55%
Away Win
74%
-18.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.57/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.94
-34% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
182 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 86%
9.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
11.4 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.70 xG 1.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
211 Passes 466
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.04.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-5 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
14.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
17.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
04.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
3-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.73 xG 2.62
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
118 Passes 417
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia saw off Panathinaikos 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Panathinaikos carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lamia had 28% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 72%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.73 to 2.62 — on chances, Panathinaikos could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lamia and 2.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Panathinaikos?

Lamia 3-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lamia 20%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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