PAOK 1-0 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.57
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.1
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
6%
17.15
X/X
12%
6.71
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
10%
15.75
2/X
6%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
71%
-19.5pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.85/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.73
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
22.4 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Levadiakos
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.73 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
497 Passes 185
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
30.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.10.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.04.2019 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
17.12.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
06.01.2018 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1-0
AWAY Levadiakos
1.02 xG 0.43
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
474 Passes 181
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK squeezed past Levadiakos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PAOK had 69% of the ball to Levadiakos's 31%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.02 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PAOK and 0.67 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Levadiakos?

PAOK 1-0 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PAOK 51%, draw 26%, Levadiakos 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5
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