Olympiakos 1-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.26
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
19%
3.88
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
11%
7.54
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.35/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.31
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.8 Crosses 10.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
292 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
19.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
17.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.48 xG 1.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
196 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos and Panathinaikos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Olympiakos had 39% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 61%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.48 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olympiakos and 1.33 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Olympiakos 1-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 44%, draw 30%, Panathinaikos 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5
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