Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
5.99
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
19%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
20%
3.19
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.35
2/X
12%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
38%
Draw
34%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.90/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.16
-25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
19.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
17.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
10.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY Olympiakos
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Olympiakos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 38% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 42% of the ball to Olympiakos's 58%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.67 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 35%, draw 38%, Olympiakos 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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