Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 37% vs market 32.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.16
X/2
10%
6.39
X/X
15%
3.99
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.82
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.30/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.8 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
311 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 0-4 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.04.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.35 xG 1.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
430 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Asteras Tripolis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 65% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 35%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.35 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.33 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 39%, draw 28%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atromitos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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