Panaitolikos 0-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
69%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
19.55
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
7%
28.5
X/1
4%
19.95
X/2
22%
3.58
X/X
9%
6.51
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
37%
1.54
2/X
4%
23.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
69%
Away Win
71%
-2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.73/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.63
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +51%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
197 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
10.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
10.2 Crosses 25.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.40 xG 1.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
220 Passes 509
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
15.09.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.02.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.11.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
13.02.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-1 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.10.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
0-1
AWAY Olympiakos
0.91 xG 1.48
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
280 Passes 518
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 35
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 38% of the ball to Olympiakos's 62%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.91 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos?

Panaitolikos 0-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos 69%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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30 Nov 2025
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