Pomigliano (K) 3-4 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pomigliano (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-72% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pomigliano (K)
3-4
AWAY Como (K)
2.49 xG 1.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
212 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pomigliano (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) nicked a narrow win over Pomigliano (K) 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Como (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pomigliano (K) had 43% of the ball to Como (K)'s 57%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 2.49 to 1.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pomigliano (K).

What was the final score of Pomigliano (K) vs Como (K)?

Pomigliano (K) 3-4 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pomigliano (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pomigliano (K) 33%, draw 26%, Como (K) 41%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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