Elversberg vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elversberg v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals
Elversberg vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Elversberg
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Elversberg
AL3
4-1
HT 2-0
Osnabrück
AL3
2-2
HT 1-1
Osnabrück
AL3
0-1
HT 0-1
Elversberg
AL3
Elversberg 3-1 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics
Elversberg got the better of Osnabrück 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Elversberg had 46% of the ball to Osnabrück's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.48 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Elversberg and 0.80 for Osnabrück.
What was the final score of Elversberg vs Osnabrück?
Elversberg 3-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Osnabrück?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 46%, draw 25%, Osnabrück 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.