St. Pauli vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
1-2
HT 0-2
Braunschweig
AL2
2-1
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Braunschweig
AL2
2-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Braunschweig
AL2
St. Pauli 1-0 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli edged past Braunschweig 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Pauli as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St. Pauli had 62% of the ball to Braunschweig's 38%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.05 to 2.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Braunschweig.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braunschweig led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Pauli and 1.17 for Braunschweig.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Braunschweig?
St. Pauli 1-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Braunschweig?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 60%, draw 24%, Braunschweig 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.