Nürnberg 1-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.07
Over
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.99
2-3
43%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.05
6+
12%
9.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.84
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.96
X/2
13%
5.31
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.26
2/X
10%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.37/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.62
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.1 Crosses 23.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
383 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AFK
02.09.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 3-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
07.05.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-3 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
29.10.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
30.10.2019 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-2 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AFK
16.12.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
1-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.83 xG 1.87
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
368 Passes 171
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg and Kaiserslautern shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nürnberg had 63% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 37%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.83 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nürnberg and 1.83 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Nürnberg 1-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 37%, draw 26%, Kaiserslautern 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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