Instituto Cordoba 0-2 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
16%
7.75
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.92
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
18%
4.8
X/2
8%
5.47
X/X
20%
3.09
2/1
11%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.7
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.99
-20% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.7 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Independiente
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
210 Passes 256
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
05.03.2023 Independiente Independiente 2-2 HT 2-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
02.02.2006 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-5 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
14.08.2005 Independiente Independiente 3-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
28.05.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
13.11.2004 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0-2
AWAY Independiente
0.61 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
312 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente beat Instituto Cordoba 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Independiente made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 51% of the ball to Independiente's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.83 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente?

Instituto Cordoba 0-2 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 40%, draw 33%, Independiente 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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