Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Huracan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.73
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
13%
3.94
X/2
10%
7.42
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
6.56
2/X
9%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Huracan EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.32/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.18
+22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 65%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.4 Crosses 20.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Huracan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
375 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Huracan Huracan 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
30.07.2023 Huracan Huracan 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
26.07.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
25.02.2022 Huracan Huracan 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
26.08.2021 Huracan Huracan 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
17.04.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1-0
AWAY Huracan
1.21 xG 0.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
366 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Huracan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield squeezed past Huracan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Velez Sarsfield as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 55% of the ball to Huracan's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huracan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 1.33 for Huracan.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Huracan?

Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Huracan in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Huracan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 45%, draw 28%, Huracan 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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