Western United (K) 3-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 18 Feb 2024

Western United (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.29
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.5 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW

Western United (K) 3-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
3-0
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
2.12 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
305 Passes 295
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) ran out comfortable winners over Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Western United (K) had 53% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 47%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 2.12 to 0.11.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Western United (K) 3-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 62%, draw 23%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
18 Feb 2024
09:00 Melbourne City (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Analysis →
14:30 Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Analysis →