CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-14.6pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.9pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.79/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/4.77
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -59%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 5-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia cruised past Botev Vratsa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 66% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 34%, shots finished 24-8.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 64%, draw 22%, Botev Vratsa 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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