Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.06
No
66%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
44%
-10.2pp
66%
BTTS No
56%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.10
-65% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
204 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etar Veliko Tarnovo and CSKA 1948 Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Etar Veliko Tarnovo had 39% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 61%, shots finished 3-11.

What was the final score of Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Etar Veliko Tarnovo 26%, draw 23%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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