Kowloon City 3-2 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 46%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.07/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.17
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kowloon City
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Central & Western
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 1-1 HT 1-1 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
07.05.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 0-0 HT 0-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
16.10.2022 Kowloon City Kowloon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City nicked a narrow win over Central & Western 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Kowloon City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kowloon City and 0.33 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs Central & Western?

Kowloon City 3-2 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 37%, draw 22%, Central & Western 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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