Düzcespor 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düzcespor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.65/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.12
+18% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düzcespor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Düzcespor Düzcespor S2-K
POST-MATCH Düzcespor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Belediyespor squeezed past Düzcespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Düzcespor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Düzcespor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Düzcespor 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düzcespor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düzcespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Düzcespor 41%, draw 26%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Düzcespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Düzcespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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