Somaspor 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 48%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+52% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.10.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
1-1
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor and GMG Kastamonuspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Somaspor had 41% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 59%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Somaspor 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 27%, draw 26%, GMG Kastamonuspor 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S2-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
18 Feb 2024
14:00 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye Analysis →
14:00 Düzcespor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor Analysis →
14:00 Denizlispor vs Fethiyespor Analysis →
14:00 İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Isparta 32 Spor Analysis →
14:00 Menemen FK vs İnegölspor Analysis →
14:00 Uşak Spor vs Karaman Futbol Kulübü Analysis →