Denizlispor 0-1 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.19
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizlispor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fethiyespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 3-1 HT 0-1 Denizlispor Denizlispor S2-K
22.09.2015 Denizlispor Denizlispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor TÜK
13.04.2014 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 1-4 HT 0-3 Denizlispor Denizlispor T1L
08.12.2013 Denizlispor Denizlispor 1-5 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizlispor
0-1
AWAY Fethiyespor
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fethiyespor edged past Denizlispor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Denizlispor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Denizlispor had 49% of the ball to Fethiyespor's 51%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fethiyespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Denizlispor and 2.25 for Fethiyespor.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Fethiyespor?

Denizlispor 0-1 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizlispor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 41%, draw 27%, Fethiyespor 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Denizlispor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denizlispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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