Greenock Morton 2-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.85
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
16%
3.95
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.14
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.93
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
7.0 Crosses 23.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
26.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
11.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
10.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
11.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
14.01.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
08.10.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 5-0 HT 3-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton got the better of Hamilton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greenock Morton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.67 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Hamilton?

Greenock Morton 2-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 44%, draw 29%, Hamilton 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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