Kaizer Chiefs 1-4 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.36
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.38/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.13
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.0 Crosses 24.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 174
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
19.10.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-4 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFLK
27.04.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.09.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
13.05.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
17.09.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-4
AWAY SuperSport United
1.65 xG 1.71
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
480 Passes 208
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United swept aside Kaizer Chiefs 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kaizer Chiefs at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 66% of the ball to SuperSport United's 34%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.65 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.83 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-4 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 43%, draw 31%, SuperSport United 26%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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