Arabi 3-1 Al Jubail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.13/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.68
+50% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +87%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jubail
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
29.09.2024 Al Jubail Al Jubail 3-1 HT 1-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-1
AWAY Al Jubail
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Jubail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi saw off Al Jubail 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 57% of the ball to Al Jubail's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Jubail?

Arabi 3-1 Al Jubail in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Jubail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arabi 42%, draw 26%, Al Jubail 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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