Olympique Beja 3-1 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.33
Over 2.5
24%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
1.72
2-3 Goals
32%
1.85
4-5 Goals
12%
7.61
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
26%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
44%
-12.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.9pp
76%
Under 2.5
72%
+4.7pp
24%
Over 2.5
28%
-4.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.0pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 27%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.85/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-26% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -50%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Beja
3W-1D-1L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
20.10.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 0-2 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
14.06.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-2 HT 1-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
14.04.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
30.12.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
08.10.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-0 HT 1-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
POST-MATCH Olympique Beja vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja saw off EGS Gafsa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Olympique Beja made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olympique Beja and 0.40 for EGS Gafsa.

What was the final score of Olympique Beja vs EGS Gafsa?

Olympique Beja 3-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Beja vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Olympique Beja 32%, draw 35%, EGS Gafsa 32%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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