ES Metlaoui 2-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
13%
8.03
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -22%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.07
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CA Bizertin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
27.04.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-2 HT 0-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
06.02.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
30.12.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 4-2 HT 1-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
08.10.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
14.05.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui got the better of CA Bizertin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Metlaoui and 2.00 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?

ES Metlaoui 2-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 46%, draw 32%, CA Bizertin 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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