Alvechurch 0-1 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.56/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.62
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kettering Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2025 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvechurch
0-1
AWAY Kettering Town
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town nicked a narrow win over Alvechurch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alvechurch had 41% of the ball to Kettering Town's 59%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kettering Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alvechurch and 1.67 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Kettering Town?

Alvechurch 0-1 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 32%, draw 27%, Kettering Town 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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