Atletico Tigre 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 39% vs market 36.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.58
X/2
8%
7.08
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.9
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.0pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.0 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
02.03.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-0 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
08.10.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
12.03.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
19.10.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
16.02.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-2
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
2.10 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
295 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tigre at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 46% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 54%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.10 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Atletico Tigre 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 43%, draw 31%, Central Cordoba Santiago 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
18 Mar 2025
01:00 Union Santa Fe vs Banfield Analysis →
03:15 San Martin San Juan vs Platense Analysis →
03:15 Atletico Tucuman vs Velez Sarsfield Analysis →