Union Santa Fe 3-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Mar 2025

Union Santa Fe
3-1 HT 1-0
Banfield
📅18/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Union Santa Fe vs Banfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
6.84
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.3
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
12%
6.82
X/X
11%
3.16
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.2
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 68% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.3pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Banfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.13/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.21
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
25.9 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Union Santa Fe vs Banfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banfield
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
257 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
31.01.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
13.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJK
10.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 1-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
13.03.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
28.07.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ

Union Santa Fe 3-1 Banfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
3-1
AWAY Banfield
2.54 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe beat Banfield 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 52% of the ball to Banfield's 48%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.54 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Banfield?

Union Santa Fe 3-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 42%, draw 30%, Banfield 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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