Leones del Norte 0-2 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
0-2
AWAY LDU Quito
0.96 xG 3.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
276 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito beat Leones del Norte 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leones del Norte had 50% of the ball to LDU Quito's 50%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.96 to 3.12.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs LDU Quito?

Leones del Norte 0-2 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 24%, draw 26%, LDU Quito 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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