Uni. Catolica 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
2.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
18.9 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
396 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
01.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 HT 3-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.57 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica squeezed past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 40%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.57 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.67 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Uni. Catolica 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 60%, draw 22%, Deportivo Cuenca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ BTTS No
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