Macara vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Delfin — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Macara 1-0 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics
Macara edged past Delfin 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Macara had 56% of the ball to Delfin's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.60 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Macara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macara and 0.50 for Delfin.
What was the final score of Macara vs Delfin?
Macara 1-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Delfin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Macara 49%, draw 29%, Delfin 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.