Delfin 0-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.96
-15% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
13.7 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Macara
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
199 Passes 309
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2024 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
19.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
26.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.03.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.09.2021 Macara Macara 2-3 HT 0-3 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.04.2021 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-0
AWAY Macara
1.22 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
190 Passes 200
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Macara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Delfin had 48% of the ball to Macara's 52%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.22 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Delfin and 0.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Macara?

Delfin 0-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Delfin 43%, draw 24%, Macara 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Delfin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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