Macara 3-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.14/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
21.5 Crosses 11.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Delfin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 213
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-4 HT 0-2 Macara Macara EKV1
10.08.2025 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
21.04.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
07.10.2024 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
19.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
26.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
3-0
AWAY Delfin
0.87 xG 0.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
368 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macara vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara cruised past Delfin 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Macara had 61% of the ball to Delfin's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.87 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 0.83 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Macara vs Delfin?

Macara 3-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Macara 63%, draw 23%, Delfin 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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