Emelec 0-2 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Nov 2025

Emelec
0-2 HT 0-1
Aucas
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.24
-30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.2 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aucas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
288 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
31.08.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
12.05.2025 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
07.10.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
20.04.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 3-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
03.09.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-2
AWAY Aucas
1.03 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
230 Passes 276
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Emelec vs Aucas
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aucas beat Emelec 2-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 23 Nov 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Emelec had 48% of the ball to Aucas's 52%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.03 to 1.83.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Emelec and 0.83 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Aucas?

Emelec 0-2 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emelec 46%, draw 24%, Aucas 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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