Aucas vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Aucas 1-2 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec edged past Aucas 2-1 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 31 Aug 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aucas had 60% of the ball to Emelec's 40%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 2.77 to 1.62.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 0.50 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Emelec?
Aucas 1-2 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aucas 53%, draw 24%, Emelec 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.