LDU Quito 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-1.7pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.3 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Macara
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
04.08.2024 Macara Macara 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
22.10.2022 Macara Macara 0-5 HT 0-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
30.05.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.10.2021 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-1
AWAY Macara
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Macara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. LDU Quito carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, LDU Quito had 51% of the ball to Macara's 49%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Macara.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Macara?

LDU Quito 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 64%, draw 19%, Macara 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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