Incheon United 1-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
11%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.86
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.53
X/2
9%
5.6
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.94
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 38%
-32% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.90/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.68
-31% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.6 Crosses 14.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
17.08.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
18.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
30.03.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
04.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
375 Passes 421
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen saw off Incheon United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Incheon United had 49% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Incheon United and 0.83 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Incheon United 1-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 39%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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