Incheon United 1-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
12%
5.3
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
15%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.85/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-33% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 20.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
376 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
18.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
30.03.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
04.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
04.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-3 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
56% Ball Possession 44%
29 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
304 Passes 220
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen edged past Incheon United 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 56% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 44%, shots finished 29-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Incheon United 1-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 39%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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