Cumbaya 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Apr 2024

Cumbaya
0-0 HT 0-0
Libertad
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Cumbaya vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cumbaya v Libertad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.91/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.14
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.8 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cumbaya vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cumbaya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Libertad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
360 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 2-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
17.06.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1

Cumbaya 0-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cumbaya
0-0
AWAY Libertad
0.31 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cumbaya vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cumbaya and Libertad played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cumbaya had 50% of the ball to Libertad's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.31 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cumbaya and 2.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Libertad?

Cumbaya 0-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cumbaya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 38%, draw 29%, Libertad 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cumbaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cumbaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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