Imbabura 2-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Apr 2024

Imbabura
2-2 HT 2-0
Uni. Catolica
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Imbabura vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Imbabura v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 62%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
-100% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +49%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
204 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
12.0 Crosses 15.5
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Imbabura 2-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
2-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.90 xG 3.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 485
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imbabura and Uni. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Imbabura had 34% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 66%, shots finished 11-26, expected goals 0.90 to 3.15.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Uni. Catolica?

Imbabura 2-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 26%, draw 28%, Uni. Catolica 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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